Over a million people dead? Travel bans? Americans sick and unable to get help at hospitals? The thoughts overwhelm us; it seems impossible. This is America, not a third world country. Pandemics causing our family and friends to drop dead around us - that's something that happened in Europe a long time ago and might happen in some really poor countries today. Right?!?
As average Americans, we are conditioned to an easy lifestyle of free travel, good health, and advanced medical help at doctors offices and hospitals when we need it. So the idea of a devastating bird flu epidemic is almost beyond our comprehension. But it's not beyond a possible reality.
On their website dedicated to this issue (www.pandemicflu.gov), the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services says, “If a pandemic influenza virus with similar virulence to the 1918 strain emerged today, in the absence of intervention, it is estimated that 1.9 million Americans could die and almost 10 million could be hospitalized over the course of the pandemic, which may evolve over a year or more.”
H5N1 avian influenza has been found recently in birds in Asia, all across Europe, and possibly in Canada. The flu, which doesn't spread easily from human-to human, has killed 62 people and infected at least 122 worldwide since 2003. While these numbers don't seem alarming, the real worry is that the flu could mutate into a form that spreads easily between humans. If this happens, a global pandemic could occur with incalculable impact.
With such a dire outlook, it is vital that the United States prepare for this possible pandemic. On Tuesday, November 1st, President Bush announced a plan to fight this possible flu outbreak. To execute the plan he requests $7.1 billion from Congress in emergency funding.
The first goal of the plan is early detection of outbreaks anywhere in the world. President Bush compared the situation to a forest fire – catch it early and you may be able to prevent major damage, let it burn for a while and it can become too huge to control.
The second goal of this plan is to stockpile medication, seek a better vaccine for the strain of flu that could cause a pandemic, and improve our ability to rapidly produce vaccines. Scientists are testing a vaccine for the current strain of bird flu. While this may not perfectly protect people against the strain of the flu that might cause a pandemic, it is still worth using. President Bush asked Congress to give the Department of Heath and Human Services money to buy enough of this vaccine to cover 20 million people. Additionally, the plan calls for scientists to continue research with the hope that a vaccine will be created for the particular strain that could hit the United States. However, scientists need a sample of this strain in order to produce a vaccine. Thus, it may be impossible to have a vaccine ready when a pandemic hits. The hope is that there could be enough vaccine to cover all Americans within 6 months of the outbreak of a pandemic.
Finally, this plan calls for officials on the federal, state, and local levels to work with all involved to prepare for an outbreak. This work must involve many people from members of Congress, to doctors in local clinics.
We see the danger. We are preparing to combat it. But when we consider what could happen right here at home, it still seems so impossible. What will happen if our way of life is upset by tragedy on this level? Where are our lives grounded? How sure are our foundations?
Additional Reporting from CNN and Reuters.
http://www.cnn.com/2005/HEALTH/conditions/11/01/us.flu.plan/
http://today.reuters.com/news/newsArticleSearch.aspx?storyID=293627+03-Nov-2005+RTRS&srch=bird+flu
